Asian shares had held tight ranges on Wednesday as investors awaited results from tech darling Nvidia’s revenue to see if the sector’s lofty valuations can withstand a jump in bond yields. Meanwhile still gloomy factory readings from Japan left sentiment fragile.
Wednesday’s data showed Japan’s factory activity shrank for a third straight month in August, offering the first glimpse into the health of global manufacturing this month. The U.S will also report its flash PMI readings on Wednesday, which is likely to show the factory sector remained in contraction.
Nvidia shares
Asian shares investor are eagerly awaiting results from Nvidia revenue due late on Wednesday. Nvidia blockbuster revenue report last quarter fueled a rally in tech stocks and artificial intelligence hopes, propelling the S&P 500 this year.
Nvidia shares hit an all-time high of $481.87 overnight. The options data is showing traders are expecting a larger-than-usual swing in Nvidia shares after the quarterly results.
Analysts expect Nvidia to forecast 110% growth in third-quarter revenue to $12.50 billion. Stuart Humphrey, an analyst at JPMorgan, said some are forecasting Nvidia revenue to be $14-15 billion.
“This kind of number feels a touch high to me, but if it sniffs this, one could argue that into this print, it doesn’t matter if demand will eventually decline next year, still will be rerated higher,” Humphrey said.
Treasury yield
Elsewhere, Treasuries took a breather from the recent rout. Ten-year yields eased 2 basis points to 4.3082% in Asia, after touching a 16-year top of 4.3660% a session earlier.
A jump in Treasury issuance, Fitch’s credit downgrade three weeks ago and concerns China will dump Treasuries to support the yuan have added to a sell-off as investors await the Fed’s annual summit in Jackson Hole, Wyoming, later this week for more rate clues.
Comments from Richmond Fed President Thomas Barkin raised expectations that Chair Jerome Powell would drive home a hawkish message, after strong U.S. economic data makes the “reacceleration scenario” possible.
Currency and metal update:
In the currency markets, the U.S. dollar was still standing strong near its two month top at 103.5 against a basket of major currencies.
The yen gained 0.2% to 145.6 per dollar, pulling further away from a nine-month trough of 146.56, amid talks that Japan will only intervene in the market if the currency plunges past 150 to the dollar.
Metal prices kept climbing for a second day, with iron ore prices gaining as much as 3.2% and coking coal futures up by a similar amount.
Commodity market update
Oil prices were largely flat. Brent crude futures was little changed at $84.00 per barrel and U.S. West Texas Intermediate crude futures also flat at $79.7.
The gold price increase was slight at $1,901.2 per ounce.
Stock update
S&P 500 futures climbed 0.3% while NASDAQ futures rose 0.4%.
Overnight, Wall Street was hit by higher yields which hit fresh 16-year highs. The Dow Jones fell 0.5%, the S&P 500 lost 0.3% and the Nasdaq Composite added 0.1%.
Financial shares underperformed, with the S&P 500 banks sliding 2.4%, after S&P joined Moody’s to downgrade multiple regional U.S. lenders.
Asian shares performance
MSCI’s broadest index of asian shares outside Japan were up 0.1%, hovering not far away from its nine-month trough hit just two sessions ago. Japan’s Nikkei rose a meagre 0.2%.
In other asian shares, Chinese shares gave up some gains, with blue-chips off 0.7% following a rebound of 0.8% the previous day. Hong Kong’s Hang Seng Index easing 0.1% after jumping 1%.
